SnowOdds

Koktokay Ski Resort

Xinjiang Uyghur, China

Village1,864 m6,115 ftSummit3,077 m10,095 ft

Painting of Koktokay Ski Resort

Weather this week

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Best weeks at Koktokay Ski Resort

SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100

Pick your week

Bars show each week's SnowOdds score at the summit: fresh snow and base first, then sun, rain and wind.

100
50
NovDecJanFebMarApr

Summit, 3,077 m10,095 ft

9–15 Nov

66/ 100Great

9 of 20 winters had 10 cm4 in or more of fresh snow this week

A coin flip for a proper refresh. Still a solid week on the upper slopes.

Snow

Weather

How the score works

The SnowOdds score

Every week at every resort gets a score out of 100. Snow sets it, and bad weather can take up to 45% off. The percentages show how much each part counts within snow or weather.

Snow

  • Fresh snow

    60%
  • Base

    25%
  • Powder

    15%

Weather

  • Sun

    50%
  • No rain

    30%
  • Calm

    20%

Example: Koktokay Ski Resort, 9–15 Nov

Out of 10WeightPoints
Fresh snow5.6× 60%34
Base6.9× 25%17
Powder10× 15%15
Snow66 / 100
Sun9.8× 50%49
No rain10× 30%30
Calm10× 20%20
Weather99 / 100

Weather at 99 out of 100 takes 0% off the snow points. The worse the weather, the more comes off, up to 45%.

Score66 − 0% = 66/ 100

Avg fresh snow
11 cm4 in
Snowy days
2.2 of 7
Avg temperature
-20°C-4°F
Season snowfall so far
71 cm28 in

Beyond the odds · at the summit, this week

Bluebird days
0.3 of 7
Wind holds
0 of 7
Dry powder
100%
Icy mornings
0 of 7

Only on SnowOdds

Beyond the odds

Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.

Bluebird days

2a winter

More than 55% of resorts

A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.

Most likely 9–15 Nov

Wind holds

0.6a winter

Calmer than 99% of resorts

Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.

Dry powder

91%of the snow

Drier than 97% of resorts

Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.

Icy mornings

4a winter

Less icy than 97% of resorts

Mornings after a day above 0°C32°F and a night at -3°C27°F or colder, with no new snow: hard, icy pistes until the sun softens them.

Every winter since 1950/51

See all 76 winters, day by day
Average winter
1.3 m53 in
Snowiest winter
2.7 m104 in
Leanest winter
60 cm24 in
Change since 1950/51
+1.9°C+3.4°F

Snow at Koktokay Ski Resort, answered

When is the best time to ski Koktokay Ski Resort?

Historically the best week for fresh snow at Koktokay Ski Resort is 9–15 Nov: in 9 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (45% odds), 11 cm on average. The next best weeks are 8–14 Mar and 2–8 Nov.

Which month has the most reliable snow at Koktokay Ski Resort?

November, with an average 30% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. January is the least reliable month of the season at 8%.

How high is Koktokay Ski Resort?

The village sits at 1,864 m (6,115 ft) and the top lift reaches 3,077 m (10,095 ft), a vertical drop of 1,213 m (3,980 ft). The resort has about 30 km of pistes and 9 lifts.

Does it snow in the village at Koktokay Ski Resort?

In the best week (9–15 Nov) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 45% of winters, against 45% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is -13°C (9°F).

Every week of the season, in numbers

Odds of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in the week, and average fresh snow, at Koktokay Ski Resort
WeekSummit oddsSummit snowVillage oddsVillage snow
2–8 Nov40%11 cm35%10 cm
9–15 Nov45%11 cm45%11 cm
16–22 Nov20%6 cm20%6 cm
23–29 Nov15%4 cm15%4 cm
30 Nov – 6 Dec10%4 cm10%4 cm
7–13 Dec10%4 cm10%4 cm
14–20 Dec21%5 cm21%5 cm
21–27 Dec11%5 cm11%5 cm
4–10 Jan10%4 cm10%4 cm
11–17 Jan10%4 cm10%4 cm
18–24 Jan5%2 cm5%2 cm
25–31 Jan5%2 cm5%2 cm
1–7 Feb10%4 cm10%4 cm
8–14 Feb10%3 cm10%3 cm
15–21 Feb20%6 cm20%6 cm
22–28 Feb10%5 cm10%5 cm
1–7 Mar10%3 cm10%3 cm
8–14 Mar35%7 cm30%6 cm
15–21 Mar25%7 cm15%6 cm
22–28 Mar15%6 cm15%5 cm
29 Mar – 4 Apr15%6 cm5%4 cm
5–11 Apr5%3 cm5%2 cm
12–18 Apr20%6 cm10%3 cm
19–25 Apr35%8 cm0%3 cm
26 Apr – 2 May10%3 cm0%1 cm