Bluebird days
2a winter
More than 55% of resorts
A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.
Most likely 9–15 Nov
Xinjiang Uyghur, China
Village1,864 m6,115 ftSummit3,077 m10,095 ft

SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100
Only on SnowOdds
Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.
2a winter
More than 55% of resorts
A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.
Most likely 9–15 Nov
0.6a winter
Calmer than 99% of resorts
Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.
91%of the snow
Drier than 97% of resorts
Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.
4a winter
Less icy than 97% of resorts
Mornings after a day above 0°C32°F and a night at -3°C27°F or colder, with no new snow: hard, icy pistes until the sun softens them.
Historically the best week for fresh snow at Koktokay Ski Resort is 9–15 Nov: in 9 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (45% odds), 11 cm on average. The next best weeks are 8–14 Mar and 2–8 Nov.
November, with an average 30% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. January is the least reliable month of the season at 8%.
The village sits at 1,864 m (6,115 ft) and the top lift reaches 3,077 m (10,095 ft), a vertical drop of 1,213 m (3,980 ft). The resort has about 30 km of pistes and 9 lifts.
In the best week (9–15 Nov) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 45% of winters, against 45% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is -13°C (9°F).
| Week | Summit odds | Summit snow | Village odds | Village snow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2–8 Nov | 40% | 11 cm | 35% | 10 cm |
| 9–15 Nov | 45% | 11 cm | 45% | 11 cm |
| 16–22 Nov | 20% | 6 cm | 20% | 6 cm |
| 23–29 Nov | 15% | 4 cm | 15% | 4 cm |
| 30 Nov – 6 Dec | 10% | 4 cm | 10% | 4 cm |
| 7–13 Dec | 10% | 4 cm | 10% | 4 cm |
| 14–20 Dec | 21% | 5 cm | 21% | 5 cm |
| 21–27 Dec | 11% | 5 cm | 11% | 5 cm |
| 4–10 Jan | 10% | 4 cm | 10% | 4 cm |
| 11–17 Jan | 10% | 4 cm | 10% | 4 cm |
| 18–24 Jan | 5% | 2 cm | 5% | 2 cm |
| 25–31 Jan | 5% | 2 cm | 5% | 2 cm |
| 1–7 Feb | 10% | 4 cm | 10% | 4 cm |
| 8–14 Feb | 10% | 3 cm | 10% | 3 cm |
| 15–21 Feb | 20% | 6 cm | 20% | 6 cm |
| 22–28 Feb | 10% | 5 cm | 10% | 5 cm |
| 1–7 Mar | 10% | 3 cm | 10% | 3 cm |
| 8–14 Mar | 35% | 7 cm | 30% | 6 cm |
| 15–21 Mar | 25% | 7 cm | 15% | 6 cm |
| 22–28 Mar | 15% | 6 cm | 15% | 5 cm |
| 29 Mar – 4 Apr | 15% | 6 cm | 5% | 4 cm |
| 5–11 Apr | 5% | 3 cm | 5% | 2 cm |
| 12–18 Apr | 20% | 6 cm | 10% | 3 cm |
| 19–25 Apr | 35% | 8 cm | 0% | 3 cm |
| 26 Apr – 2 May | 10% | 3 cm | 0% | 1 cm |
Open-Meteo forecast, updated 16:30 local time
Summit3,077 m10,095 ft
-2°C28°F
Cloudy
Village1,864 m6,115 ft
4°C39°F
Cloudy
FallenForecast
This week, Monday to Sunday, fallen plus forecast
This week
9 cm4 in
Average
11 cm4 in
This week
5 cm2 in
Average
11 cm4 in
This week
3/ 7
Average
2.2/ 7
This week
-11°C12°F
Average
-20°C-4°F