SnowOdds

76 winters, day by day

Koktokay Ski Resort, China. Every ski winter from 1950/51 to 2025/26.

Painting of Koktokay Ski Resort
Average winter
1.3 m53 in
Snowiest winter
2.7 m104 in
Leanest winter
60 cm24 in
Powder days a winter
1

Every day of every winter

Each row is a winter, oldest at the top. Each column is a day, from the start of the season to the end. The darker the blue, the more snow fell that day.

Loading the daily snowfall…

Winter total
1950/511960/611970/711980/811990/912000/012010/112020/21
New snow in a day
1 cm0.4 in3 cm1 in7 cm3 in15 cm6 in30 cm12 in50 cm20 in

Climate change

One stripe per winter, 1950/51 to 2025/26. Blue winters were colder than this resort’s average, red ones warmer.

Average winter temperature at the summit

Faster warming than 33% of 736 resorts

+1.9°C+3.4°F

The trend: from -21°C-6°F to -19°C-2°F. Point at a winter to read it.

-22°-8°-20°-4°-18°0°

Snowfall at the summit

+10%

The trend: from 1.3 m50 in to 1.4 m55 in. Point at a winter to read it.

50 cm20 in1.0 m39 in1.5 m59 in2.0 m79 in2.5 m98 in

Powder days at the summit

+1 day

The trend: from 1 to 2. Point at a winter to read it.

0246

Days with a base at the summit

−9 days

The trend: from 171 to 162. Point at a winter to read it.

100150

Days with a base in the village

−28 days

The trend: from 158 to 131. Point at a winter to read it.

050100150200

Each dot is one winter. The curve is a running average over about ten winters; the dotted line is the straight trend through all of them, and the changes above are measured along it. One winter is weather; the trend is climate.

Then and now

Then 1950/51–1979/80Now 1996/97–2025/26

Snowfall at the summit+6%

Then

1.3 m51 in

Now

1.4 m54 in

Snowfall in the village+3%

Then

1.2 m46 in

Now

1.2 m48 in

Powder days at the summit+1 day

Then

1

Now

2

Days with a base at the summit−6 days

Then

170

Now

163

Days with a base in the village−20 days

Then

154

Now

133

Average temperature at the summit+1.2°C+2.2°F

Then

-21°C-5°F

Now

-19°C-3°F

Averages per winter over the first and last 30 winters. A powder day brings 10 cm4 in or more of new snow; a base is 30 cm12 in or more on the ground.

Records

Most snow in a day
25 cm10 in
Snowiest winter
2.7 m104 in
Leanest winter
60 cm24 in
Deepest snow on the ground
182 cm72 in
Coldest night at the summit
-48°C-54°F
Strongest gust at the summit
114 km/h71 mph

All winters

Modelled weather from ERA5 and ERA5-Land, not measured on the slopes. Snow depth is the average over a grid cell about 9 km wide, so it can differ a lot from what the piste report says. How SnowOdds works