Bluebird days
0.8a winter
More than 25% of resorts
A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.
Most likely 14–20 Dec
SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100
Only on SnowOdds
Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.
0.8a winter
More than 25% of resorts
A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.
Most likely 14–20 Dec
3.6a winter
Calmer than 87% of resorts
Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.
83%of the snow
Drier than 94% of resorts
Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.
17a winter
Less icy than 57% of resorts
Mornings after a day above 0°C32°F and a night at -3°C27°F or colder, with no new snow: hard, icy pistes until the sun softens them.
Historically the best week for fresh snow at Sheregesh is 16–22 Nov: in 13 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (65% odds), 16 cm on average. The next best weeks are 7–13 Dec and 18–24 Jan.
November, with an average 63% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. April is the least reliable month of the season at 11%.
The village sits at 577 m (1,893 ft) and the top lift reaches 1,462 m (4,797 ft), a vertical drop of 885 m (2,904 ft). The resort has about 65 km of pistes and 23 lifts.
In the best week (16–22 Nov) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 60% of winters, against 65% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is -9°C (15°F).
| Week | Summit odds | Summit snow | Village odds | Village snow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2–8 Nov | 70% | 17 cm | 45% | 11 cm |
| 9–15 Nov | 65% | 17 cm | 60% | 14 cm |
| 16–22 Nov | 65% | 16 cm | 60% | 15 cm |
| 23–29 Nov | 50% | 15 cm | 50% | 12 cm |
| 30 Nov – 6 Dec | 45% | 15 cm | 45% | 14 cm |
| 7–13 Dec | 55% | 11 cm | 55% | 11 cm |
| 14–20 Dec | 47% | 10 cm | 47% | 10 cm |
| 21–27 Dec | 42% | 12 cm | 42% | 12 cm |
| 4–10 Jan | 30% | 9 cm | 30% | 9 cm |
| 11–17 Jan | 45% | 9 cm | 45% | 9 cm |
| 18–24 Jan | 40% | 9 cm | 40% | 9 cm |
| 25–31 Jan | 40% | 9 cm | 40% | 8 cm |
| 1–7 Feb | 20% | 7 cm | 20% | 7 cm |
| 8–14 Feb | 20% | 6 cm | 20% | 5 cm |
| 15–21 Feb | 30% | 9 cm | 30% | 9 cm |
| 22–28 Feb | 30% | 7 cm | 25% | 7 cm |
| 1–7 Mar | 35% | 8 cm | 35% | 7 cm |
| 8–14 Mar | 40% | 9 cm | 35% | 8 cm |
| 15–21 Mar | 45% | 10 cm | 40% | 9 cm |
| 22–28 Mar | 25% | 7 cm | 20% | 6 cm |
| 29 Mar – 4 Apr | 20% | 8 cm | 15% | 6 cm |
| 5–11 Apr | 15% | 5 cm | 10% | 3 cm |
| 12–18 Apr | 10% | 4 cm | 5% | 2 cm |
| 19–25 Apr | 10% | 5 cm | 10% | 2 cm |
| 26 Apr – 2 May | 0% | 2 cm | 0% | 0 cm |
Open-Meteo forecast, updated 14:45 local time
Summit1,462 m4,797 ft
-2°C28°F
Rain
Village577 m1,893 ft
4°C39°F
Rain
FallenForecast
This week, Monday to Sunday, fallen plus forecast
This week
9 cm4 in
Average
17 cm7 in
This week
2 cm0.8 in
Average
14 cm6 in
This week
2/ 7
Average
3.9/ 7
This week
-7°C19°F
Average
-14°C7°F