SnowOdds

Whakapapa

Manawatu-Wanganui Region, New Zealand

Village1,573 m5,161 ftSummit2,299 m7,543 ft

Painting of Whakapapa

Weather this week

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Best weeks at Whakapapa

SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100

Pick your week

Bars show each week's SnowOdds score at the summit: fresh snow and base first, then sun, rain and wind.

100
50
JunJulAugSeptOct

Summit, 2,299 m7,543 ft

16–22 Aug

13/ 100Poor

2 of 20 winters had 10 cm4 in or more of fresh snow this week

Snow rarely falls this week. Maybe pack a good book.

Snow

Weather

How the score works

The SnowOdds score

Every week at every resort gets a score out of 100. Snow sets it, and bad weather can take up to 45% off. The percentages show how much each part counts within snow or weather.

Snow

  • Fresh snow

    60%
  • Base

    25%
  • Powder

    15%

Weather

  • Sun

    50%
  • No rain

    30%
  • Calm

    20%

Example: Whakapapa, 16–22 Aug

Out of 10WeightPoints
Fresh snow1.3× 60%8
Base0× 25%0
Powder7× 15%11
Snow19 / 100
Sun3.6× 50%18
No rain0× 30%0
Calm5.3× 20%11
Weather29 / 100

Weather at 29 out of 100 takes 32% off the snow points. The worse the weather, the more comes off, up to 45%.

Score19 − 32% = 13/ 100

Avg fresh snow
2 cm0.8 in
Snowy days
0.6 of 7
Avg temperature
-4°C25°F
Season snowfall so far
17 cm7 in

Beyond the odds · at the summit, this week

Bluebird days
0 of 7
Wind holds
0.8 of 7
Dry powder
68%
Icy mornings
–

Only on SnowOdds

Beyond the odds

Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.

Bluebird days

0.1a winter

A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.

Wind holds

24a winter

Calmer than 7% of resorts

Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.

Calmest 23–29 Aug

Dry powder

51%of the snow

Drier than 62% of resorts

Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.

Driest 21–27 Jun

Every winter since 1950

See all 76 winters, day by day
Average winter
28.355 cm11 in
Snowiest winter
85 cm33 in
Leanest winter
3 cm1 in
Change since 1950
+1.3°C+2.3°F

Snow at Whakapapa, answered

When is the best time to ski Whakapapa?

Historically the best week for fresh snow at Whakapapa is 16–22 Aug: in 2 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (10% odds), 2 cm on average. The next best weeks are 28 Jun – 4 Jul and 12–18 Jul.

Which month has the most reliable snow at Whakapapa?

August, with an average 5% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. June is the least reliable month of the season at 0%.

How high is Whakapapa?

The village sits at 1,573 m (5,161 ft) and the top lift reaches 2,299 m (7,543 ft), a vertical drop of 726 m (2,382 ft). The resort has about 34 km of pistes and 13 lifts.

Does it snow in the village at Whakapapa?

In the best week (16–22 Aug) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 10% of winters, against 10% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is 1°C (33°F).

Every week of the season, in numbers

Odds of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in the week, and average fresh snow, at Whakapapa
WeekSummit oddsSummit snowVillage oddsVillage snow
7–13 Jun0%0 cm0%0 cm
14–20 Jun0%0 cm0%0 cm
21–27 Jun0%1 cm0%1 cm
28 Jun – 4 Jul5%2 cm5%2 cm
5–11 Jul5%2 cm5%2 cm
12–18 Jul5%2 cm5%2 cm
19–25 Jul0%1 cm0%0 cm
26 Jul – 1 Aug5%1 cm5%1 cm
2–8 Aug10%2 cm10%2 cm
9–15 Aug0%2 cm0%2 cm
16–22 Aug10%2 cm10%2 cm
23–29 Aug0%1 cm0%1 cm
30 Aug – 5 Sept0%0 cm0%0 cm
6–12 Sept5%2 cm5%1 cm
13–19 Sept0%1 cm0%1 cm
20–26 Sept0%0 cm0%0 cm
27 Sept – 3 Oct0%1 cm0%1 cm
4–10 Oct5%2 cm5%2 cm