Bluebird days
0.1a winter
A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.
Manawatu-Wanganui Region, New Zealand
Village1,573 m5,161 ftSummit2,299 m7,543 ft

SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100
Only on SnowOdds
Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.
0.1a winter
A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.
24a winter
Calmer than 7% of resorts
Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.
Calmest 23–29 Aug
51%of the snow
Drier than 62% of resorts
Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.
Driest 21–27 Jun
Historically the best week for fresh snow at Whakapapa is 16–22 Aug: in 2 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (10% odds), 2 cm on average. The next best weeks are 28 Jun – 4 Jul and 12–18 Jul.
August, with an average 5% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. June is the least reliable month of the season at 0%.
The village sits at 1,573 m (5,161 ft) and the top lift reaches 2,299 m (7,543 ft), a vertical drop of 726 m (2,382 ft). The resort has about 34 km of pistes and 13 lifts.
In the best week (16–22 Aug) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 10% of winters, against 10% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is 1°C (33°F).
| Week | Summit odds | Summit snow | Village odds | Village snow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7–13 Jun | 0% | 0 cm | 0% | 0 cm |
| 14–20 Jun | 0% | 0 cm | 0% | 0 cm |
| 21–27 Jun | 0% | 1 cm | 0% | 1 cm |
| 28 Jun – 4 Jul | 5% | 2 cm | 5% | 2 cm |
| 5–11 Jul | 5% | 2 cm | 5% | 2 cm |
| 12–18 Jul | 5% | 2 cm | 5% | 2 cm |
| 19–25 Jul | 0% | 1 cm | 0% | 0 cm |
| 26 Jul – 1 Aug | 5% | 1 cm | 5% | 1 cm |
| 2–8 Aug | 10% | 2 cm | 10% | 2 cm |
| 9–15 Aug | 0% | 2 cm | 0% | 2 cm |
| 16–22 Aug | 10% | 2 cm | 10% | 2 cm |
| 23–29 Aug | 0% | 1 cm | 0% | 1 cm |
| 30 Aug – 5 Sept | 0% | 0 cm | 0% | 0 cm |
| 6–12 Sept | 5% | 2 cm | 5% | 1 cm |
| 13–19 Sept | 0% | 1 cm | 0% | 1 cm |
| 20–26 Sept | 0% | 0 cm | 0% | 0 cm |
| 27 Sept – 3 Oct | 0% | 1 cm | 0% | 1 cm |
| 4–10 Oct | 5% | 2 cm | 5% | 2 cm |
Live weather is unavailable right now. The odds below don’t depend on it.