SnowOdds

Mount Lyford Alpine Resort

Marlborough Region, New Zealand

Village1,412 m4,633 ftSummit1,735 m5,692 ft

Painting of Mount Lyford Alpine Resort

Weather this week

live

Best weeks at Mount Lyford Alpine Resort

SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100

Pick your week

Bars show each week's SnowOdds score at the summit: fresh snow and base first, then sun, rain and wind.

100
50
JunJulAugSeptOct

Summit, 1,735 m5,692 ft

12–18 Jul

21/ 100Poor

3 of 20 winters had 10 cm4 in or more of fresh snow this week

Snow rarely falls this week. Maybe pack a good book.

Snow

Weather

How the score works

The SnowOdds score

Every week at every resort gets a score out of 100. Snow sets it, and bad weather can take up to 45% off. The percentages show how much each part counts within snow or weather.

Snow

  • Fresh snow

    60%
  • Base

    25%
  • Powder

    15%

Weather

  • Sun

    50%
  • No rain

    30%
  • Calm

    20%

Example: Mount Lyford Alpine Resort, 12–18 Jul

Out of 10WeightPoints
Fresh snow1.9× 60%11
Base1.4× 25%4
Powder7× 15%11
Snow26 / 100
Sun8.7× 50%44
No rain1.6× 30%5
Calm6× 20%12
Weather61 / 100

Weather at 61 out of 100 takes 18% off the snow points. The worse the weather, the more comes off, up to 45%.

Score26 − 18% = 21/ 100

Avg fresh snow
4 cm2 in
Snowy days
1.4 of 7
Avg temperature
-5°C24°F
Season snowfall so far
30 cm12 in

Beyond the odds · at the summit, this week

Bluebird days
0 of 7
Wind holds
0.6 of 7
Dry powder
55%
Icy mornings
0.2 of 7

Only on SnowOdds

Beyond the odds

Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.

Bluebird days

0.5a winter

More than 16% of resorts

A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.

Wind holds

11a winter

Calmer than 49% of resorts

Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.

Dry powder

31%of the snow

Drier than 31% of resorts

Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.

Icy mornings

3.4a winter

Less icy than 97% of resorts

Mornings after a day above 0°C32°F and a night at -3°C27°F or colder, with no new snow: hard, icy pistes until the sun softens them.

Every winter since 1950

See all 76 winters, day by day
Average winter
57.382 cm23 in
Snowiest winter
1.4 m55 in
Leanest winter
18 cm7 in
Change since 1950
+2.0°C+3.6°F

Snow at Mount Lyford Alpine Resort, answered

When is the best time to ski Mount Lyford Alpine Resort?

Historically the best week for fresh snow at Mount Lyford Alpine Resort is 12–18 Jul: in 3 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (15% odds), 4 cm on average. The next best weeks are 2–8 Aug and 19–25 Jul.

Which month has the most reliable snow at Mount Lyford Alpine Resort?

July, with an average 8% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. September is the least reliable month of the season at 0%.

How high is Mount Lyford Alpine Resort?

The village sits at 1,412 m (4,633 ft) and the top lift reaches 1,735 m (5,692 ft), a vertical drop of 323 m (1,060 ft). The resort has about 8 km of pistes and 6 lifts.

Does it snow in the village at Mount Lyford Alpine Resort?

In the best week (12–18 Jul) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 15% of winters, against 15% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is -2°C (28°F).

Every week of the season, in numbers

Odds of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in the week, and average fresh snow, at Mount Lyford Alpine Resort
WeekSummit oddsSummit snowVillage oddsVillage snow
7–13 Jun5%4 cm5%3 cm
14–20 Jun0%1 cm0%1 cm
21–27 Jun10%5 cm10%5 cm
28 Jun – 4 Jul5%2 cm5%2 cm
5–11 Jul0%3 cm0%2 cm
12–18 Jul15%4 cm15%4 cm
19–25 Jul10%4 cm10%4 cm
26 Jul – 1 Aug10%2 cm10%2 cm
2–8 Aug20%5 cm20%4 cm
9–15 Aug0%3 cm0%3 cm
16–22 Aug5%4 cm5%3 cm
23–29 Aug0%1 cm0%1 cm
30 Aug – 5 Sept0%1 cm0%1 cm
6–12 Sept0%3 cm0%3 cm
13–19 Sept0%1 cm0%1 cm
20–26 Sept0%2 cm0%2 cm
27 Sept – 3 Oct0%1 cm0%1 cm
4–10 Oct0%2 cm0%1 cm