Bluebird days
1.6a winter
More than 47% of resorts
A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.
Most likely 14–20 Dec
New Mexico, United States
Village2,850 m9,350 ftSummit3,603 m11,821 ft

SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100
Only on SnowOdds
Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.
1.6a winter
More than 47% of resorts
A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.
Most likely 14–20 Dec
23a winter
Calmer than 10% of resorts
Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.
64%of the snow
Drier than 80% of resorts
Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.
Driest 18–24 Jan
18a winter
Less icy than 52% of resorts
Mornings after a day above 0°C32°F and a night at -3°C27°F or colder, with no new snow: hard, icy pistes until the sun softens them.
Least icy 14–20 Dec
Historically the best week for fresh snow at Taos Ski Valley is 1–7 Feb: in 5 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (25% odds), 6 cm on average. The next best weeks are 18–24 Jan and 21–27 Dec.
December, with an average 17% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. November is the least reliable month of the season at 8%.
The village sits at 2,850 m (9,350 ft) and the top lift reaches 3,603 m (11,821 ft), a vertical drop of 753 m (2,470 ft). The resort has about 43 km of pistes and 14 lifts.
In the best week (1–7 Feb) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 25% of winters, against 25% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is -6°C (21°F).
| Week | Summit odds | Summit snow | Village odds | Village snow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2–8 Nov | 10% | 3 cm | 5% | 3 cm |
| 9–15 Nov | 5% | 2 cm | 5% | 2 cm |
| 16–22 Nov | 5% | 4 cm | 5% | 3 cm |
| 23–29 Nov | 10% | 4 cm | 5% | 3 cm |
| 30 Nov – 6 Dec | 0% | 3 cm | 0% | 3 cm |
| 7–13 Dec | 25% | 6 cm | 15% | 6 cm |
| 14–20 Dec | 16% | 5 cm | 16% | 5 cm |
| 21–27 Dec | 26% | 7 cm | 26% | 7 cm |
| 4–10 Jan | 15% | 4 cm | 15% | 4 cm |
| 11–17 Jan | 5% | 4 cm | 5% | 4 cm |
| 18–24 Jan | 20% | 5 cm | 20% | 5 cm |
| 25–31 Jan | 10% | 3 cm | 10% | 3 cm |
| 1–7 Feb | 25% | 6 cm | 25% | 5 cm |
| 8–14 Feb | 10% | 4 cm | 10% | 4 cm |
| 15–21 Feb | 5% | 5 cm | 5% | 5 cm |
| 22–28 Feb | 15% | 5 cm | 15% | 5 cm |
| 1–7 Mar | 15% | 5 cm | 10% | 4 cm |
| 8–14 Mar | 10% | 5 cm | 5% | 4 cm |
| 15–21 Mar | 20% | 4 cm | 15% | 3 cm |
| 22–28 Mar | 15% | 5 cm | 10% | 4 cm |
| 29 Mar – 4 Apr | 10% | 3 cm | 10% | 3 cm |
| 5–11 Apr | 15% | 4 cm | 15% | 3 cm |
| 12–18 Apr | 15% | 4 cm | 15% | 3 cm |
| 19–25 Apr | 5% | 2 cm | 5% | 2 cm |
| 26 Apr – 2 May | 10% | 4 cm | 10% | 2 cm |
Live weather is unavailable right now. The odds below don’t depend on it.