SnowOdds

Shahdag Mountain Resort

Qusar, Azerbaijan

Village1,435 m4,708 ftSummit2,551 m8,369 ft

Painting of Shahdag Mountain Resort

Weather this week

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Best weeks at Shahdag Mountain Resort

SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100

Pick your week

Bars show each week's SnowOdds score at the summit: fresh snow and base first, then sun, rain and wind.

100
50
NovDecJanFebMarApr

Summit, 2,551 m8,369 ft

15–21 Feb

55/ 100Great

8 of 20 winters had 10 cm4 in or more of fresh snow this week

A coin flip for a proper refresh. Still a solid week on the upper slopes.

Snow

Weather

How the score works

The SnowOdds score

Every week at every resort gets a score out of 100. Snow sets it, and bad weather can take up to 45% off. The percentages show how much each part counts within snow or weather.

Snow

  • Fresh snow

    60%
  • Base

    25%
  • Powder

    15%

Weather

  • Sun

    50%
  • No rain

    30%
  • Calm

    20%

Example: Shahdag Mountain Resort, 15–21 Feb

Out of 10WeightPoints
Fresh snow5× 60%30
Base8.9× 25%22
Powder5.3× 15%8
Snow60 / 100
Sun7.8× 50%39
No rain8.2× 30%25
Calm9.3× 20%19
Weather83 / 100

Weather at 83 out of 100 takes 8% off the snow points. The worse the weather, the more comes off, up to 45%.

Score60 − 8% = 55/ 100

Avg fresh snow
8 cm3 in
Snowy days
2 of 7
Avg temperature
-8°C17°F
Season snowfall so far
1.0 m40 in

Beyond the odds · at the summit, this week

Bluebird days
0.1 of 7
Wind holds
0.1 of 7
Dry powder
64%
Icy mornings
0.9 of 7

Only on SnowOdds

Beyond the odds

Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.

Bluebird days

2.3a winter

More than 61% of resorts

A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.

Wind holds

1.6a winter

Calmer than 96% of resorts

Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.

Dry powder

46%of the snow

Drier than 55% of resorts

Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.

Icy mornings

24a winter

Less icy than 34% of resorts

Mornings after a day above 0°C32°F and a night at -3°C27°F or colder, with no new snow: hard, icy pistes until the sun softens them.

Least icy 23–29 Nov

Every winter since 1950/51

See all 76 winters, day by day
Average winter
1.6 m64 in
Snowiest winter
2.8 m108 in
Leanest winter
90 cm35 in
Change since 1950/51
+1.0°C+1.7°F

Snow at Shahdag Mountain Resort, answered

When is the best time to ski Shahdag Mountain Resort?

Historically the best week for fresh snow at Shahdag Mountain Resort is 15–21 Feb: in 8 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (40% odds), 8 cm on average. The next best weeks are 22–28 Feb and 8–14 Mar.

Which month has the most reliable snow at Shahdag Mountain Resort?

April, with an average 32% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. December is the least reliable month of the season at 14%.

How high is Shahdag Mountain Resort?

The village sits at 1,435 m (4,708 ft) and the top lift reaches 2,551 m (8,369 ft), a vertical drop of 1,116 m (3,661 ft). The resort has about 30 km of pistes and 12 lifts.

Does it snow in the village at Shahdag Mountain Resort?

In the best week (15–21 Feb) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 30% of winters, against 40% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is -4°C (25°F).

Every week of the season, in numbers

Odds of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in the week, and average fresh snow, at Shahdag Mountain Resort
WeekSummit oddsSummit snowVillage oddsVillage snow
2–8 Nov20%5 cm15%4 cm
9–15 Nov10%4 cm5%2 cm
16–22 Nov20%6 cm15%4 cm
23–29 Nov25%7 cm20%5 cm
30 Nov – 6 Dec25%6 cm20%5 cm
7–13 Dec15%5 cm15%5 cm
14–20 Dec0%3 cm0%3 cm
21–27 Dec16%5 cm16%4 cm
4–10 Jan15%4 cm10%4 cm
11–17 Jan20%5 cm20%5 cm
18–24 Jan15%5 cm15%5 cm
25–31 Jan15%6 cm15%5 cm
1–7 Feb25%7 cm25%7 cm
8–14 Feb10%5 cm10%5 cm
15–21 Feb40%8 cm30%8 cm
22–28 Feb30%8 cm30%8 cm
1–7 Mar15%6 cm10%5 cm
8–14 Mar35%8 cm35%7 cm
15–21 Mar35%8 cm30%6 cm
22–28 Mar40%9 cm30%7 cm
29 Mar – 4 Apr45%12 cm30%7 cm
5–11 Apr15%6 cm5%2 cm
12–18 Apr40%9 cm25%5 cm
19–25 Apr35%9 cm0%2 cm
26 Apr – 2 May25%6 cm5%2 cm