SnowOdds

Orcières Merlette

Hautes-Alpes, France

Village1,826 m5,991 ftSummit2,731 m8,960 ft

Painting of Orcières Merlette

Weather this week

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Best weeks at Orcières Merlette

SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100

Pick your week

Bars show each week's SnowOdds score at the summit: fresh snow and base first, then sun, rain and wind.

100
50
NovDecJanFebMarApr

Summit, 2,731 m8,960 ft

4–10 Jan

76/ 100Excellent

13 of 20 winters had 10 cm4 in or more of fresh snow this week

Great odds up top. The village may stay a little green.

Snow

Weather

How the score works

The SnowOdds score

Every week at every resort gets a score out of 100. Snow sets it, and bad weather can take up to 45% off. The percentages show how much each part counts within snow or weather.

Snow

  • Fresh snow

    60%
  • Base

    25%
  • Powder

    15%

Weather

  • Sun

    50%
  • No rain

    30%
  • Calm

    20%

Example: Orcières Merlette, 4–10 Jan

Out of 10WeightPoints
Fresh snow8.1× 60%49
Base10× 25%25
Powder8.8× 15%13
Snow87 / 100
Sun8× 50%40
No rain6.2× 30%19
Calm6× 20%12
Weather71 / 100

Weather at 71 out of 100 takes 13% off the snow points. The worse the weather, the more comes off, up to 45%.

Score87 − 13% = 76/ 100

Avg fresh snow
17 cm7 in
Snowy days
2.7 of 7
Avg temperature
-11°C12°F
Season snowfall so far
1.7 m65 in

Beyond the odds · at the summit, this week

Bluebird days
0.2 of 7
Wind holds
0.6 of 7
Dry powder
87%
Icy mornings
0.1 of 7

Only on SnowOdds

Beyond the odds

Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.

Bluebird days

3.4a winter

More than 82% of resorts

A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.

Most likely 30 Nov – 6 Dec

Wind holds

13a winter

Calmer than 42% of resorts

Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.

Dry powder

65%of the snow

Drier than 82% of resorts

Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.

Icy mornings

20a winter

Less icy than 44% of resorts

Mornings after a day above 0°C32°F and a night at -3°C27°F or colder, with no new snow: hard, icy pistes until the sun softens them.

Least icy 11–17 Jan

Every winter since 1950/51

See all 76 winters, day by day
Average winter
3.5 m136 in
Snowiest winter
5.3 m207 in
Leanest winter
1.8 m72 in
Change since 1950/51
+1.7°C+3.1°F

Snow at Orcières Merlette, answered

When is the best time to ski Orcières Merlette?

Historically the best week for fresh snow at Orcières Merlette is 4–10 Jan: in 13 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (65% odds), 17 cm on average. The next best weeks are 30 Nov – 6 Dec and 1–7 Feb.

Which month has the most reliable snow at Orcières Merlette?

December, with an average 52% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. April is the least reliable month of the season at 34%.

How high is Orcières Merlette?

The village sits at 1,826 m (5,991 ft) and the top lift reaches 2,731 m (8,960 ft), a vertical drop of 905 m (2,969 ft). The resort has about 49 km of pistes and 26 lifts.

Does it snow in the village at Orcières Merlette?

In the best week (4–10 Jan) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 65% of winters, against 65% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is -5°C (22°F).

Every week of the season, in numbers

Odds of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in the week, and average fresh snow, at Orcières Merlette
WeekSummit oddsSummit snowVillage oddsVillage snow
2–8 Nov50%13 cm25%6 cm
9–15 Nov35%9 cm10%3 cm
16–22 Nov55%16 cm35%9 cm
23–29 Nov50%16 cm35%12 cm
30 Nov – 6 Dec70%21 cm55%18 cm
7–13 Dec55%18 cm50%15 cm
14–20 Dec42%13 cm37%11 cm
21–27 Dec42%13 cm37%12 cm
4–10 Jan65%17 cm65%16 cm
11–17 Jan45%12 cm45%11 cm
18–24 Jan40%14 cm40%13 cm
25–31 Jan35%10 cm35%10 cm
1–7 Feb60%16 cm60%15 cm
8–14 Feb50%14 cm50%13 cm
15–21 Feb50%12 cm45%11 cm
22–28 Feb35%9 cm35%8 cm
1–7 Mar40%14 cm40%13 cm
8–14 Mar55%15 cm40%12 cm
15–21 Mar40%11 cm35%9 cm
22–28 Mar35%9 cm20%7 cm
29 Mar – 4 Apr30%11 cm25%8 cm
5–11 Apr35%8 cm5%3 cm
12–18 Apr40%8 cm25%4 cm
19–25 Apr30%8 cm10%3 cm
26 Apr – 2 May35%9 cm10%2 cm