SnowOdds

Madarao Kogen Mountain Resort

Nagano Prefecture, Japan

Village918 m3,012 ftSummit1,339 m4,393 ft

Painting of Madarao Kogen Mountain Resort

Weather this week

live

Best weeks at Madarao Kogen Mountain Resort

SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100

Pick your week

Bars show each week's SnowOdds score at the summit: fresh snow and base first, then sun, rain and wind.

100
50
NovDecJanFebMarApr

Summit, 1,339 m4,393 ft

8–14 Feb

76/ 100Excellent

18 of 20 winters had 10 cm4 in or more of fresh snow this week

Snow everywhere. Historically one of the best weeks to be here.

Snow

Weather

How the score works

The SnowOdds score

Every week at every resort gets a score out of 100. Snow sets it, and bad weather can take up to 45% off. The percentages show how much each part counts within snow or weather.

Snow

  • Fresh snow

    60%
  • Base

    25%
  • Powder

    15%

Weather

  • Sun

    50%
  • No rain

    30%
  • Calm

    20%

Example: Madarao Kogen Mountain Resort, 8–14 Feb

Out of 10WeightPoints
Fresh snow10× 60%60
Base10× 25%25
Powder5.4× 15%8
Snow93 / 100
Sun3.3× 50%17
No rain7.2× 30%22
Calm10× 20%20
Weather59 / 100

Weather at 59 out of 100 takes 18% off the snow points. The worse the weather, the more comes off, up to 45%.

Score93 − 18% = 76/ 100

Avg fresh snow
19 cm7 in
Snowy days
4.7 of 7
Avg temperature
-7°C19°F
Season snowfall so far
1.9 m76 in

Beyond the odds · at the summit, this week

Bluebird days
0.1 of 7
Wind holds
0.1 of 7
Dry powder
52%
Icy mornings
0.4 of 7

Only on SnowOdds

Beyond the odds

Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.

Bluebird days

1.6a winter

More than 47% of resorts

A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.

Wind holds

5.1a winter

Calmer than 80% of resorts

Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.

Dry powder

39%of the snow

Drier than 45% of resorts

Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.

Icy mornings

25a winter

Less icy than 29% of resorts

Mornings after a day above 0°C32°F and a night at -3°C27°F or colder, with no new snow: hard, icy pistes until the sun softens them.

Least icy 2–8 Nov

Every winter since 1950/51

See all 76 winters, day by day
Average winter
2.9 m116 in
Snowiest winter
3.9 m154 in
Leanest winter
1.9 m74 in
Change since 1950/51
+1.6°C+2.9°F

Snow at Madarao Kogen Mountain Resort, answered

When is the best time to ski Madarao Kogen Mountain Resort?

Historically the best week for fresh snow at Madarao Kogen Mountain Resort is 8–14 Feb: in 18 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (90% odds), 19 cm on average. The next best weeks are 18–24 Jan and 4–10 Jan.

Which month has the most reliable snow at Madarao Kogen Mountain Resort?

January, with an average 89% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. November is the least reliable month of the season at 9%.

How high is Madarao Kogen Mountain Resort?

The village sits at 918 m (3,012 ft) and the top lift reaches 1,339 m (4,393 ft), a vertical drop of 421 m (1,381 ft). The resort has about 17 km of pistes and 9 lifts.

Does it snow in the village at Madarao Kogen Mountain Resort?

In the best week (8–14 Feb) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 90% of winters, against 90% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is -4°C (24°F).

Every week of the season, in numbers

Odds of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in the week, and average fresh snow, at Madarao Kogen Mountain Resort
WeekSummit oddsSummit snowVillage oddsVillage snow
2–8 Nov0%1 cm0%1 cm
9–15 Nov10%3 cm10%3 cm
16–22 Nov10%5 cm15%5 cm
23–29 Nov15%5 cm15%5 cm
30 Nov – 6 Dec50%11 cm55%11 cm
7–13 Dec55%13 cm55%13 cm
14–20 Dec68%16 cm68%16 cm
21–27 Dec84%20 cm84%20 cm
4–10 Jan100%21 cm100%21 cm
11–17 Jan85%20 cm85%20 cm
18–24 Jan85%19 cm85%19 cm
25–31 Jan85%20 cm85%21 cm
1–7 Feb75%18 cm75%18 cm
8–14 Feb90%19 cm90%19 cm
15–21 Feb75%19 cm75%19 cm
22–28 Feb50%14 cm50%14 cm
1–7 Mar55%12 cm55%12 cm
8–14 Mar60%14 cm60%14 cm
15–21 Mar55%10 cm60%11 cm
22–28 Mar45%9 cm45%9 cm
29 Mar – 4 Apr25%6 cm25%6 cm
5–11 Apr20%5 cm20%5 cm
12–18 Apr10%3 cm10%3 cm
19–25 Apr5%2 cm5%2 cm
26 Apr – 2 May0%0 cm0%0 cm