Bluebird days
1.6a winter
More than 47% of resorts
A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.
Nagano Prefecture, Japan
Village918 m3,012 ftSummit1,339 m4,393 ft

SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100
Only on SnowOdds
Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.
1.6a winter
More than 47% of resorts
A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.
5.1a winter
Calmer than 80% of resorts
Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.
39%of the snow
Drier than 45% of resorts
Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.
25a winter
Less icy than 29% of resorts
Mornings after a day above 0°C32°F and a night at -3°C27°F or colder, with no new snow: hard, icy pistes until the sun softens them.
Least icy 2–8 Nov
Historically the best week for fresh snow at Madarao Kogen Mountain Resort is 8–14 Feb: in 18 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (90% odds), 19 cm on average. The next best weeks are 18–24 Jan and 4–10 Jan.
January, with an average 89% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. November is the least reliable month of the season at 9%.
The village sits at 918 m (3,012 ft) and the top lift reaches 1,339 m (4,393 ft), a vertical drop of 421 m (1,381 ft). The resort has about 17 km of pistes and 9 lifts.
In the best week (8–14 Feb) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 90% of winters, against 90% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is -4°C (24°F).
| Week | Summit odds | Summit snow | Village odds | Village snow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2–8 Nov | 0% | 1 cm | 0% | 1 cm |
| 9–15 Nov | 10% | 3 cm | 10% | 3 cm |
| 16–22 Nov | 10% | 5 cm | 15% | 5 cm |
| 23–29 Nov | 15% | 5 cm | 15% | 5 cm |
| 30 Nov – 6 Dec | 50% | 11 cm | 55% | 11 cm |
| 7–13 Dec | 55% | 13 cm | 55% | 13 cm |
| 14–20 Dec | 68% | 16 cm | 68% | 16 cm |
| 21–27 Dec | 84% | 20 cm | 84% | 20 cm |
| 4–10 Jan | 100% | 21 cm | 100% | 21 cm |
| 11–17 Jan | 85% | 20 cm | 85% | 20 cm |
| 18–24 Jan | 85% | 19 cm | 85% | 19 cm |
| 25–31 Jan | 85% | 20 cm | 85% | 21 cm |
| 1–7 Feb | 75% | 18 cm | 75% | 18 cm |
| 8–14 Feb | 90% | 19 cm | 90% | 19 cm |
| 15–21 Feb | 75% | 19 cm | 75% | 19 cm |
| 22–28 Feb | 50% | 14 cm | 50% | 14 cm |
| 1–7 Mar | 55% | 12 cm | 55% | 12 cm |
| 8–14 Mar | 60% | 14 cm | 60% | 14 cm |
| 15–21 Mar | 55% | 10 cm | 60% | 11 cm |
| 22–28 Mar | 45% | 9 cm | 45% | 9 cm |
| 29 Mar – 4 Apr | 25% | 6 cm | 25% | 6 cm |
| 5–11 Apr | 20% | 5 cm | 20% | 5 cm |
| 12–18 Apr | 10% | 3 cm | 10% | 3 cm |
| 19–25 Apr | 5% | 2 cm | 5% | 2 cm |
| 26 Apr – 2 May | 0% | 0 cm | 0% | 0 cm |
Live weather is unavailable right now. The odds below don’t depend on it.