SnowOdds

Kayseri-Erciyes

Kayseri, Turkey

Village2,088 m6,850 ftSummit3,339 m10,955 ft

Painting of Kayseri-Erciyes

Weather this week

live

Best weeks at Kayseri-Erciyes

SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100

Pick your week

Bars show each week's SnowOdds score at the summit: fresh snow and base first, then sun, rain and wind.

100
50
NovDecJanFebMarApr

Summit, 3,339 m10,955 ft

8–14 Feb

47/ 100Good

7 of 20 winters had 10 cm4 in or more of fresh snow this week

Historically a dry spell. Pack patience, or look at neighbouring weeks.

Snow

Weather

How the score works

The SnowOdds score

Every week at every resort gets a score out of 100. Snow sets it, and bad weather can take up to 45% off. The percentages show how much each part counts within snow or weather.

Snow

  • Fresh snow

    60%
  • Base

    25%
  • Powder

    15%

Weather

  • Sun

    50%
  • No rain

    30%
  • Calm

    20%

Example: Kayseri-Erciyes, 8–14 Feb

Out of 10WeightPoints
Fresh snow4.4× 60%26
Base4.2× 25%11
Powder10× 15%15
Snow52 / 100
Sun8.4× 50%42
No rain6.4× 30%19
Calm9.3× 20%19
Weather80 / 100

Weather at 80 out of 100 takes 9% off the snow points. The worse the weather, the more comes off, up to 45%.

Score52 − 9% = 47/ 100

Avg fresh snow
6 cm2 in
Snowy days
1.5 of 7
Avg temperature
-13°C9°F
Season snowfall so far
67 cm26 in

Beyond the odds · at the summit, this week

Bluebird days
0.1 of 7
Wind holds
0.1 of 7
Dry powder
99%
Icy mornings
0 of 7

Only on SnowOdds

Beyond the odds

Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.

Bluebird days

0.7a winter

More than 23% of resorts

A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.

Wind holds

4a winter

Calmer than 85% of resorts

Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.

Dry powder

97%of the snow

Drier than 99% of resorts

Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.

Icy mornings

0.8a winter

Less icy than 99% of resorts

Mornings after a day above 0°C32°F and a night at -3°C27°F or colder, with no new snow: hard, icy pistes until the sun softens them.

Every winter since 1950/51

See all 76 winters, day by day
Average winter
1.2 m46 in
Snowiest winter
1.9 m75 in
Leanest winter
32 cm13 in
Change since 1950/51
+1.3°C+2.3°F

Snow at Kayseri-Erciyes, answered

When is the best time to ski Kayseri-Erciyes?

Historically the best week for fresh snow at Kayseri-Erciyes is 8–14 Feb: in 7 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (35% odds), 6 cm on average. The next best weeks are 18–24 Jan and 25–31 Jan.

Which month has the most reliable snow at Kayseri-Erciyes?

January, with an average 28% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. November is the least reliable month of the season at 4%.

How high is Kayseri-Erciyes?

The village sits at 2,088 m (6,850 ft) and the top lift reaches 3,339 m (10,955 ft), a vertical drop of 1,251 m (4,104 ft). The resort has about 49 km of pistes and 16 lifts.

Does it snow in the village at Kayseri-Erciyes?

In the best week (8–14 Feb) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 35% of winters, against 35% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is -5°C (24°F).

Every week of the season, in numbers

Odds of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in the week, and average fresh snow, at Kayseri-Erciyes
WeekSummit oddsSummit snowVillage oddsVillage snow
2–8 Nov0%1 cm0%0 cm
9–15 Nov0%1 cm0%1 cm
16–22 Nov15%3 cm15%3 cm
23–29 Nov0%1 cm0%1 cm
30 Nov – 6 Dec10%3 cm10%3 cm
7–13 Dec20%4 cm20%4 cm
14–20 Dec11%4 cm11%4 cm
21–27 Dec21%6 cm21%6 cm
4–10 Jan25%7 cm25%7 cm
11–17 Jan20%7 cm20%7 cm
18–24 Jan35%8 cm35%8 cm
25–31 Jan30%7 cm30%7 cm
1–7 Feb25%6 cm25%6 cm
8–14 Feb35%6 cm35%6 cm
15–21 Feb35%7 cm35%7 cm
22–28 Feb15%5 cm15%5 cm
1–7 Mar20%5 cm20%5 cm
8–14 Mar15%5 cm15%5 cm
15–21 Mar30%6 cm30%6 cm
22–28 Mar20%5 cm20%5 cm
29 Mar – 4 Apr10%3 cm10%3 cm
5–11 Apr5%1 cm5%1 cm
12–18 Apr5%2 cm5%2 cm
19–25 Apr0%2 cm0%1 cm
26 Apr – 2 May0%0 cm0%0 cm