SnowOdds

Hakodate Nanae Snowpark

Hokkaido Prefecture, Japan

Village257 m843 ftSummit949 m3,114 ft

Painting of Hakodate Nanae Snowpark

Weather this week

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Best weeks at Hakodate Nanae Snowpark

SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100

Pick your week

Bars show each week's SnowOdds score at the summit: fresh snow and base first, then sun, rain and wind.

100
50
NovDecJanFebMarApr

Summit, 949 m3,114 ft

15–21 Feb

40/ 100Good

9 of 20 winters had 10 cm4 in or more of fresh snow this week

A coin flip for a proper refresh. Still a solid week on the upper slopes.

Snow

Weather

How the score works

The SnowOdds score

Every week at every resort gets a score out of 100. Snow sets it, and bad weather can take up to 45% off. The percentages show how much each part counts within snow or weather.

Snow

  • Fresh snow

    60%
  • Base

    25%
  • Powder

    15%

Weather

  • Sun

    50%
  • No rain

    30%
  • Calm

    20%

Example: Hakodate Nanae Snowpark, 15–21 Feb

Out of 10WeightPoints
Fresh snow5.6× 60%34
Base3.8× 25%10
Powder5× 15%8
Snow52 / 100
Sun4.9× 50%25
No rain7.8× 30%23
Calm0.7× 20%1
Weather49 / 100

Weather at 49 out of 100 takes 23% off the snow points. The worse the weather, the more comes off, up to 45%.

Score52 − 23% = 40/ 100

Avg fresh snow
10 cm4 in
Snowy days
2 of 7
Avg temperature
-8°C18°F
Season snowfall so far
82 cm32 in

Beyond the odds · at the summit, this week

Bluebird days
0.2 of 7
Wind holds
1.1 of 7
Dry powder
45%
Icy mornings
0.2 of 7

Only on SnowOdds

Beyond the odds

Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.

Bluebird days

1.5a winter

More than 44% of resorts

A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.

Wind holds

33a winter

Calmer than 3% of resorts

Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.

Calmest 29 Mar – 4 Apr

Dry powder

31%of the snow

Drier than 31% of resorts

Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.

Driest 18–24 Jan

Icy mornings

4.5a winter

Less icy than 95% of resorts

Mornings after a day above 0°C32°F and a night at -3°C27°F or colder, with no new snow: hard, icy pistes until the sun softens them.

Every winter since 1950/51

See all 76 winters, day by day
Average winter
1.6 m61 in
Snowiest winter
2.4 m96 in
Leanest winter
75 cm30 in
Change since 1950/51
+2.3°C+4.2°F

Snow at Hakodate Nanae Snowpark, answered

When is the best time to ski Hakodate Nanae Snowpark?

Historically the best week for fresh snow at Hakodate Nanae Snowpark is 15–21 Feb: in 9 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (45% odds), 10 cm on average. The next best weeks are 1–7 Mar and 22–28 Feb.

Which month has the most reliable snow at Hakodate Nanae Snowpark?

February, with an average 31% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. November is the least reliable month of the season at 1%.

How high is Hakodate Nanae Snowpark?

The village sits at 257 m (843 ft) and the top lift reaches 949 m (3,114 ft), a vertical drop of 692 m (2,270 ft). The resort has about 14 km of pistes and 3 lifts.

Does it snow in the village at Hakodate Nanae Snowpark?

In the best week (15–21 Feb) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 45% of winters, against 45% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is -3°C (26°F).

Every week of the season, in numbers

Odds of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in the week, and average fresh snow, at Hakodate Nanae Snowpark
WeekSummit oddsSummit snowVillage oddsVillage snow
2–8 Nov0%0 cm0%0 cm
9–15 Nov0%1 cm0%1 cm
16–22 Nov0%2 cm0%2 cm
23–29 Nov5%3 cm5%3 cm
30 Nov – 6 Dec10%5 cm10%5 cm
7–13 Dec25%7 cm25%7 cm
14–20 Dec11%5 cm11%5 cm
21–27 Dec21%6 cm21%6 cm
4–10 Jan10%6 cm10%6 cm
11–17 Jan25%7 cm25%7 cm
18–24 Jan30%8 cm30%8 cm
25–31 Jan30%9 cm30%9 cm
1–7 Feb25%7 cm25%7 cm
8–14 Feb25%6 cm25%6 cm
15–21 Feb45%10 cm45%10 cm
22–28 Feb30%8 cm30%8 cm
1–7 Mar40%9 cm40%9 cm
8–14 Mar30%10 cm30%10 cm
15–21 Mar20%7 cm20%7 cm
22–28 Mar25%5 cm25%5 cm
29 Mar – 4 Apr10%3 cm10%3 cm
5–11 Apr5%2 cm5%2 cm
12–18 Apr5%2 cm5%2 cm
19–25 Apr0%0 cm0%0 cm
26 Apr – 2 May5%2 cm5%2 cm