SnowOdds

Elbrus

Kabardino-Balkar, Russia

Village2,323 m7,621 ftSummit3,841 m12,602 ft

Painting of Elbrus

Weather this week

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Best weeks at Elbrus

SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100

Pick your week

Bars show each week's SnowOdds score at the summit: fresh snow and base first, then sun, rain and wind.

100
50
NovDecJanFebMarApr

Summit, 3,841 m12,602 ft

18–24 Jan

83/ 100Excellent

14 of 20 winters had 10 cm4 in or more of fresh snow this week

Snow everywhere. Historically one of the best weeks to be here.

Snow

Weather

How the score works

The SnowOdds score

Every week at every resort gets a score out of 100. Snow sets it, and bad weather can take up to 45% off. The percentages show how much each part counts within snow or weather.

Snow

  • Fresh snow

    60%
  • Base

    25%
  • Powder

    15%

Weather

  • Sun

    50%
  • No rain

    30%
  • Calm

    20%

Example: Elbrus, 18–24 Jan

Out of 10WeightPoints
Fresh snow8.8× 60%53
Base10× 25%25
Powder10× 15%15
Snow93 / 100
Sun6× 50%30
No rain10× 30%30
Calm8× 20%16
Weather76 / 100

Weather at 76 out of 100 takes 11% off the snow points. The worse the weather, the more comes off, up to 45%.

Score93 − 11% = 83/ 100

Avg fresh snow
16 cm6 in
Snowy days
3.1 of 7
Avg temperature
-19°C-2°F
Season snowfall so far
2.3 m89 in

Beyond the odds · at the summit, this week

Bluebird days
0.1 of 7
Wind holds
0.3 of 7
Dry powder
100%
Icy mornings
0 of 7

Only on SnowOdds

Beyond the odds

Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.

Bluebird days

3.9a winter

More than 89% of resorts

A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.

Wind holds

9.3a winter

Calmer than 63% of resorts

Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.

Dry powder

95%of the snow

Drier than 99% of resorts

Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.

Icy mornings

1.3a winter

Less icy than 99% of resorts

Mornings after a day above 0°C32°F and a night at -3°C27°F or colder, with no new snow: hard, icy pistes until the sun softens them.

Every winter since 1950/51

See all 76 winters, day by day
Average winter
3.9 m153 in
Snowiest winter
6.4 m252 in
Leanest winter
2.2 m86 in
Change since 1950/51
+0.7°C+1.2°F

Elbrus

Village
2,323 m7,621 ft
Summit
3,841 m12,602 ft
Vertical drop
1,518 m4,980 ft
Pistes
14 km9 mi
Lifts
9

Compare with nearby resorts

Snow at Elbrus, answered

When is the best time to ski Elbrus?

Historically the best week for fresh snow at Elbrus is 18–24 Jan: in 14 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (70% odds), 16 cm on average. The next best weeks are 15–21 Mar and 22–28 Mar.

Which month has the most reliable snow at Elbrus?

March, with an average 66% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. November is the least reliable month of the season at 46%.

How high is Elbrus?

The village sits at 2,323 m (7,621 ft) and the top lift reaches 3,841 m (12,602 ft), a vertical drop of 1,518 m (4,980 ft). The resort has about 14 km of pistes and 9 lifts.

Does it snow in the village at Elbrus?

In the best week (18–24 Jan) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 70% of winters, against 70% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is -10°C (14°F).

Every week of the season, in numbers

Odds of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in the week, and average fresh snow, at Elbrus
WeekSummit oddsSummit snowVillage oddsVillage snow
2–8 Nov40%13 cm20%7 cm
9–15 Nov45%13 cm35%9 cm
16–22 Nov45%13 cm45%12 cm
23–29 Nov55%16 cm55%13 cm
30 Nov – 6 Dec40%10 cm40%10 cm
7–13 Dec50%12 cm50%12 cm
14–20 Dec42%13 cm42%13 cm
21–27 Dec53%12 cm53%12 cm
4–10 Jan45%14 cm45%14 cm
11–17 Jan60%21 cm60%21 cm
18–24 Jan70%16 cm70%16 cm
25–31 Jan50%12 cm50%12 cm
1–7 Feb50%12 cm50%12 cm
8–14 Feb55%15 cm55%15 cm
15–21 Feb55%14 cm50%13 cm
22–28 Feb60%15 cm60%15 cm
1–7 Mar55%13 cm55%13 cm
8–14 Mar60%16 cm60%15 cm
15–21 Mar75%19 cm60%16 cm
22–28 Mar75%22 cm65%17 cm
29 Mar – 4 Apr55%16 cm50%13 cm
5–11 Apr70%18 cm55%12 cm
12–18 Apr75%20 cm30%10 cm
19–25 Apr75%18 cm25%7 cm
26 Apr – 2 May55%14 cm25%6 cm