SnowOdds

Cerro Castor

Tierra del Fuego, Argentina

Village189 m620 ftSummit943 m3,094 ft

Painting of Cerro Castor

Weather this week

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Best weeks at Cerro Castor

SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100

Pick your week

Bars show each week's SnowOdds score at the summit: fresh snow and base first, then sun, rain and wind.

100
50
JunJulAugSeptOct

Summit, 943 m3,094 ft

16–22 Aug

33/ 100Fair

6 of 20 winters had 10 cm4 in or more of fresh snow this week

Historically a dry spell. Pack patience, or look at neighbouring weeks.

Snow

Weather

How the score works

The SnowOdds score

Every week at every resort gets a score out of 100. Snow sets it, and bad weather can take up to 45% off. The percentages show how much each part counts within snow or weather.

Snow

  • Fresh snow

    60%
  • Base

    25%
  • Powder

    15%

Weather

  • Sun

    50%
  • No rain

    30%
  • Calm

    20%

Example: Cerro Castor, 16–22 Aug

Out of 10WeightPoints
Fresh snow3.8× 60%23
Base9.9× 25%25
Powder1.6× 15%2
Snow50 / 100
Sun1.3× 50%7
No rain3.6× 30%11
Calm2.7× 20%5
Weather23 / 100

Weather at 23 out of 100 takes 35% off the snow points. The worse the weather, the more comes off, up to 45%.

Score50 − 35% = 33/ 100

Avg fresh snow
9 cm4 in
Snowy days
2.2 of 7
Avg temperature
-6°C21°F
Season snowfall so far
1.1 m45 in

Beyond the odds · at the summit, this week

Bluebird days
0 of 7
Wind holds
1 of 7
Dry powder
18%
Icy mornings
0.1 of 7

Only on SnowOdds

Beyond the odds

Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.

Bluebird days

0.2a winter

More than 5% of resorts

A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.

Most likely 6–12 Sept

Wind holds

25a winter

Calmer than 7% of resorts

Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.

Calmest 21–27 Jun

Dry powder

19%of the snow

Drier than 14% of resorts

Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.

Driest 28 Jun – 4 Jul

Icy mornings

17a winter

Less icy than 55% of resorts

Mornings after a day above 0°C32°F and a night at -3°C27°F or colder, with no new snow: hard, icy pistes until the sun softens them.

Least icy 26 Jul – 1 Aug

Every winter since 1950

See all 76 winters, day by day
Average winter
1.2 m45 in
Snowiest winter
2.2 m87 in
Leanest winter
72 cm28 in
Change since 1950
+2.0°C+3.5°F

Snow at Cerro Castor, answered

When is the best time to ski Cerro Castor?

Historically the best week for fresh snow at Cerro Castor is 16–22 Aug: in 6 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (30% odds), 9 cm on average. The next best weeks are 26 Jul – 1 Aug and 23–29 Aug.

Which month has the most reliable snow at Cerro Castor?

August, with an average 21% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. October is the least reliable month of the season at 0%.

How high is Cerro Castor?

The village sits at 189 m (620 ft) and the top lift reaches 943 m (3,094 ft), a vertical drop of 754 m (2,474 ft). The resort has about 32 km of pistes and 11 lifts.

Does it snow in the village at Cerro Castor?

In the best week (16–22 Aug) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 0% of winters, against 30% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is -1°C (30°F).

Every week of the season, in numbers

Odds of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in the week, and average fresh snow, at Cerro Castor
WeekSummit oddsSummit snowVillage oddsVillage snow
7–13 Jun20%6 cm5%3 cm
14–20 Jun20%6 cm5%4 cm
21–27 Jun20%7 cm5%3 cm
28 Jun – 4 Jul15%6 cm0%4 cm
5–11 Jul20%6 cm10%3 cm
12–18 Jul10%6 cm0%3 cm
19–25 Jul15%5 cm10%3 cm
26 Jul – 1 Aug25%7 cm0%3 cm
2–8 Aug20%7 cm10%3 cm
9–15 Aug20%7 cm10%3 cm
16–22 Aug30%9 cm0%4 cm
23–29 Aug15%6 cm0%2 cm
30 Aug – 5 Sept15%5 cm5%2 cm
6–12 Sept10%4 cm0%1 cm
13–19 Sept15%6 cm5%2 cm
20–26 Sept25%6 cm5%2 cm
27 Sept – 3 Oct10%4 cm0%1 cm
4–10 Oct0%3 cm0%1 cm