SnowOdds

Bear Valley

California, United States

Village2,024 m6,640 ftSummit2,586 m8,484 ft

Painting of Bear Valley

Weather this week

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Best weeks at Bear Valley

SnowOdds score at the summit, out of 100

Pick your week

Bars show each week's SnowOdds score at the summit: fresh snow and base first, then sun, rain and wind.

100
50
NovDecJanFebMarApr

Summit, 2,586 m8,484 ft

1–7 Mar

66/ 100Great

14 of 20 winters had 10 cm4 in or more of fresh snow this week

Snow everywhere. Historically one of the best weeks to be here.

Snow

Weather

How the score works

The SnowOdds score

Every week at every resort gets a score out of 100. Snow sets it, and bad weather can take up to 45% off. The percentages show how much each part counts within snow or weather.

Snow

  • Fresh snow

    60%
  • Base

    25%
  • Powder

    15%

Weather

  • Sun

    50%
  • No rain

    30%
  • Calm

    20%

Example: Bear Valley, 1–7 Mar

Out of 10WeightPoints
Fresh snow8.8× 60%53
Base9.1× 25%23
Powder5.5× 15%8
Snow84 / 100
Sun7.6× 50%38
No rain4.6× 30%14
Calm0.7× 20%1
Weather53 / 100

Weather at 53 out of 100 takes 21% off the snow points. The worse the weather, the more comes off, up to 45%.

Score84 − 21% = 66/ 100

Avg fresh snow
34 cm13 in
Snowy days
2.9 of 7
Avg temperature
-4°C25°F
Season snowfall so far
3.6 m142 in

Beyond the odds · at the summit, this week

Bluebird days
0.2 of 7
Wind holds
1.1 of 7
Dry powder
45%
Icy mornings
2.5 of 7

Only on SnowOdds

Beyond the odds

Our own measures, from every day of the last 20 winters at the summit.

Bluebird days

7.4a winter

More than 99% of resorts

A clear day with no new snow, right after 10 cm4 in or more fell in the two days before.

Most likely 14–20 Dec

Wind holds

20a winter

Calmer than 15% of resorts

Days with gusts of 70 km/h43 mph or more at the summit: enough to stop most chairlifts.

Calmest 26 Apr – 2 May

Dry powder

25%of the snow

Drier than 21% of resorts

Snow that fell on days that stayed below -5°C23°F at the summit: light and dry. The rest is heavier.

Driest 22–28 Feb

Icy mornings

57a winter

Mornings after a day above 0°C32°F and a night at -3°C27°F or colder, with no new snow: hard, icy pistes until the sun softens them.

Least icy 2–8 Nov

Every winter since 1950/51

See all 76 winters, day by day
Average winter
4.9 m194 in
Snowiest winter
9.1 m357 in
Leanest winter
1.8 m70 in
Change since 1950/51
+1.5°C+2.8°F

Snow at Bear Valley, answered

When is the best time to ski Bear Valley?

Historically the best week for fresh snow at Bear Valley is 1–7 Mar: in 14 of the last 20 winters at least 10 cm of new snow fell at the summit that week (70% odds), 34 cm on average. The next best weeks are 22–28 Feb and 22–28 Mar.

Which month has the most reliable snow at Bear Valley?

December, with an average 54% chance of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in any given week at the summit. April is the least reliable month of the season at 36%.

How high is Bear Valley?

The village sits at 2,024 m (6,640 ft) and the top lift reaches 2,586 m (8,484 ft), a vertical drop of 562 m (1,844 ft). The resort has about 36 km of pistes and 9 lifts.

Does it snow in the village at Bear Valley?

In the best week (1–7 Mar) the village gets 10 cm or more of fresh snow in 60% of winters, against 70% at the summit. The average village temperature that week is 0°C (32°F).

Every week of the season, in numbers

Odds of 10 cm or more of fresh snow in the week, and average fresh snow, at Bear Valley
WeekSummit oddsSummit snowVillage oddsVillage snow
2–8 Nov25%8 cm15%5 cm
9–15 Nov35%9 cm15%5 cm
16–22 Nov40%10 cm15%5 cm
23–29 Nov50%16 cm25%7 cm
30 Nov – 6 Dec40%15 cm20%7 cm
7–13 Dec55%26 cm40%16 cm
14–20 Dec58%20 cm47%15 cm
21–27 Dec63%26 cm42%14 cm
4–10 Jan40%24 cm35%14 cm
11–17 Jan35%21 cm30%13 cm
18–24 Jan45%26 cm35%19 cm
25–31 Jan45%17 cm35%14 cm
1–7 Feb40%16 cm25%10 cm
8–14 Feb40%21 cm25%10 cm
15–21 Feb55%25 cm35%16 cm
22–28 Feb55%30 cm50%24 cm
1–7 Mar70%34 cm60%25 cm
8–14 Mar45%21 cm35%11 cm
15–21 Mar40%24 cm30%15 cm
22–28 Mar55%19 cm40%13 cm
29 Mar – 4 Apr45%16 cm35%11 cm
5–11 Apr35%14 cm35%8 cm
12–18 Apr45%13 cm30%8 cm
19–25 Apr30%9 cm20%4 cm
26 Apr – 2 May25%7 cm15%3 cm